Housing Trends to Watch in 2013
While you may have been busy making New Year’s resolutions to eat a clean diet, exercise, volunteer more for you favorite charity, the Stovall Team has been busy listing, selling and studying the local and National Real Estate Market. Expert predictions depend on the mainstream forecasts of economic growth next year being correct and assume that the economy won’t experience an earthquake from falling off the fiscal cliff.
Others emphasized that all markets are local—real estate conditions in coastal metro areas vary wildly from those in mid-sized Midwestern towns. Those caveats aside, here are OUR 3 real estate trends forecast for next year.
1. More short sales. Short sales are deals in which a home sells for less than what the borrower owes on the mortgage, with the bank agreeing to accept the sale in lieu of going through an expensive and time consuming foreclosure. On November 1, the FHFA issued new rules on short sales for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—among other measures, those reduce the documentation that borrowers have to show to demonstrate hardship, and borrowers now aren’t necessarily required to pay the difference between what they owe on the mortgage and the final sales price. So while foreclosure sales will keep falling, the number of short sales should rise, says Polyana da
Costa, senior mortgage analyst at Bankrate.com.
2. More first-time home buyers. A report from consulting firm Deloitte & Touche on key issues in commercial real estate for 2013 predicts that growth in demand for single-family homes next year will likely be driven by first-time home buyers. That trend is visible in an NAR survey of buyers and sellers released in November—39 percent of borrowers were first-timers, up from 37 percent in the 2011 survey.
3. Easier credit standards. On average, would-be borrowers now need a FICO credit score in the 760s to get a mortgage, much higher even than the years before the easy-credit housing boom began, according to the FHFA. That should start changing next year–qualifying scores will start dropping as more qualified buyers come into the
market and lenders compete to offer them loans, says Luis Vergara of Mission Capital Advisors in New York City. That downward shift in standards will be strengthened if the Obama administration, as has been rumored, replaces FHFA head Ed DeMarco, a Bush-era holdover and advocate of tight credit standards, says Richard Green, head
of the University of Southern California’s Lusk Center for Real Estate.
Sources: The Lusk Center for Real Estate, The Fiscal Times: 10
Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2013

Freddie Mac Housing Predictions
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Freddie Mac predictions for US real estate in 2013 The housing market is expected to continue its rise in the New Year, according to Freddie Mac’s U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for December.
Continuing to keep home affordability low, mortgage rates will likely remain near their record lows in the first half of 2013, Freddie Mac reports. However, the all-time low rates are expected to start inching up slowly during the second half of the year. Still, mortgage rates are expected to stay below 4%, Freddie Mac reports.
Some other forecasts for the housing market in 2013, according to Freddie Mac’s report:
“The last few months have brought a spate of favorable news on the U.S. housing market with construction up, more home sales, and home-value growth turning positive,” says Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “This has been a big change from a year ago, when some analysts worried that the looming ‘shadow inventory’ would keep the housing sector mired in an economic depression. Instead, the housing market is healing, is contributing positively to GDP and is returning to its traditional role of supporting the economic recovery.”
Source: Freddie Mac Media