Mortgage interest rates declined for the third straight week, setting up the possibility of a small end-of-year rally for home sales.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.44% in Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, which is the lowest level since late September. The 15-year fixed-rate also dropped slightly, averaging 6.76% for the week.
That combination of economic strength, lower inflation and lower mortgage rates will likely bring potential homebuyers into the market, said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.
Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS, agreed that more homebuyers may take advantage of the current conditions before year-end — but could end up disappointed because of the lack of inventory.
“For those homebuyers who can wait, the spring will bring more new listings and lower mortgage rates,” Sturtevant said.
If the economic data continues to trend in the same direction, another rate hike would be far less likely, said Realtor.com Economist Jiayi Xu. She expects mortgage rates to continue their steady decline in the final weeks of the year.
For NAR Deputy Chief Economist Jessica Lautz, Pitbull lyrics — “It’s going down, I’m yellin’ timber” — came to mind when looking at the downward trend in mortgage rates, which she believes will build momentum. And although inventory is low right now, homebuyers may benefit from less competition, she said.
“[Late fall] might be a calmer season to home shop before rates fall into the 6% range in spring and pent-up demand floods into the market,” said Lautz in response to the rate drop.
Even with a steady decline in mortgage rates, confidence continues to erode for the nation’s homebuilders. The National Association of Homebuilders’ confidence index fell six points to 34 in November. It has fallen 22 points since July. But if mortgage rates continue to trend down and existing-homes inventory remains low, confidence should begin to rise in December, said Robert Dietz, NAHB chief economist.
Builders may be uncertain, but homebuyers appear to be feeling more confident, with mortgage applications rising 2.8% this week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Applications are still sitting at relatively low levels, however, as mortgage rates above 7% make for a challenging market, said Joel Kan, MBA’s deputy chief economist.
Keys To Making Your Home Goals in 2024
If buying or selling a home is your goal for 2024, it’s important to understand today’s housing market, know your why, and work with industry experts to bring your homeownership vision for the new year into focus. Call Stovall Team today 714.343.9294.
Over the last year, the economy had a big impact on the housing market, and likely on your wallet too. That’s why it’s critical to have a clear picture of not just the market today, but also on what you want out of it when you buy or sell a home. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, explains:
Here are a few things to think through as you define your goals for 2024.
1. Know Your Why
You’re dreaming about making a move for a reason – what is it? No matter what’s happening in the market, there are still many compelling reasons to buy a home today. Your needs may have changed in a way your current house can’t address, or you could be ready to step into homeownership for the first time. Use your why and your motivation as a guidepost in partnership with an expert advisor to make sure your move gives you a lasting sense of accomplishment.
2. Figure Out What Your Next Home Needs To Look Like
You know you want to move, but how would you describe your dream home? The number of homes for sale has grown recently, and that could mean more options to choose from when you buy. But overall housing supply is still lower than more normal years in the market, so you’ll have to work closely with Stovall Team to find what you’re looking for. Just be sure to keep your budget in mind as you balance your wants and needs. The better you understand what’s essential and where you can be flexible, the easier it will be to find a home that’s right for you.
3. Determine if You’re Ready To Buy
Getting clear on your budget and available savings is essential before you get too far into the process. Partnering with a local agent and a lender early is the best way to make sure you’re in a good position to buy. This could include planning how much to save for a down payment, getting pre-approved for a home loan, and assessing your current home equity if you’re selling your existing house.
A Professional Will Guide You Through Every Step of the Process
Buying or selling a home takes expertise to navigate. If that feels a bit overwhelming, that’s normal. Don’t let uncertainty hold you back from your goals this year. Stovall Team will help you bridge that gap and give you the facts and advice you need about today’s housing market.
Bottom Line
Work with Stovall Team now and build a team of industry professionals to be sure you hit your homeownership goals in 2024.